1. The ECRR risk model has been applied to the 3 million people living in the
100km radius of the Fukushima catastrophe. Assuming these people remain
living there for one year the number of excess cancers predicted by the method is
approximately 200,000 in the next 50 years with 100,000 being diagnosed in the
next 10 years. If they are evacuated immediately, the number will fall by a
significant amount. For those 7 million living between 100km and 200km from
the site, the predicted number of cancers is slig